۱۲ روز پیش از فرارسیدن مهلت توافق برای کاهش فعالیتهای هستهای ایران، روسیه قبول کرده تا هشت راکتور هستهای دیگر در ایران بسازد.
توافق بین روسیه و ایران، ساخت دو راکتور را پیشبینی میکند و شش راکتور دیگر را نیز در نظر خواهد داشت.
قدرتهای جهانی از جمله روسیه تلاش دارند فعالیتهای هستهای ایران را در میان نگرانیها برای ساخت بمب کاهش دهند. قرار است هفته آینده دیپلماتها دور آخر مذاکرات را برگزار کنند. هنوز مشخص نیست، توافق روسیه چه تاثیری میتواند بر مذاکرات داشته باشد.
قدرتهای جهانی سعی دارند، ایران در عوض برداشته شدن تحریمها، غنیسازی اورانیوم خود را تا زیر سطح لازم برای تولید سلاح کاهش دهد.
سرگئی ریابکوف، مذاکرهکننده ارشد روسیه گفته «منطقا خوشبین است» که در مذاکرات به توافق دست یابند. توافق روسیه برای ساخت دو راکتور دیگر در بوشهر و احتمال ساخت شش راکتور دیگر در آینده، با تلاشهای غرب برای منزوی کردن رژیم ایران منافات دارد.
با اینحال، نهایتا میتواند بر بنبست طولانیمدت هستهای بین تهران و جامعه بینالمللی تاثیر مثبت داشته باشد.
درحالیکه روسیه سعی دارد برای تولید سوخت هستهای به ایران کمک کند، تمام راکتورها ـ– مثل بوشهرـ – الزاما از سوختهای روسی استفاده خواهند کرد. نشانهها حاکی از آن است که وقتی سوختها مصرف شد، برای پردازش دوباره نیز به روسیه بازگردانده میشود.
ایران به وضوح به دنبال حفظ توان ویژه برای تولید اورانیوم غنیشده در کشور است.
اما در این برهه حساس مذاکرات بین تهران و قدرتهای جهانی که قرار است آخر این ماه پایان یابد، این خواست تا چه حد میتواند پیش برود؟
دخالت روسیه شاید بتواند اعتماد افرادی را که در تهران به دنبال مصالحه هستند، تقویت کند.
گفته میشود ایران در عوض قبول بازرسیهای گستردهتر، خواهان کمک برای برنامه صلحآمیز هستهای خود است. رسانههای روسی در مورد توافق برای ساخت راکتورهای جدید، به نقل از علی اکبر صالحی، رئیس سازمان اتمی ایران گفته که این موضوع “یک نقطه عطف در توسعه روابط دو کشور است.”
دو راکتور جدید در تاسیسات هستهای بوشهر ساخته خواهد شد. این نیروگاه و اولین راکتور آن توسط روسیه ساخته شد و در سال ۲۰۱۳ شروع به کار کرد.
روساتم، شرکت انرژی هستهای روسیه گفته است، ساخت راکتورها تحت نظارت آژانس بینالمللی انرژی هستهای صورت میگیرد و سوخت لازم برای آنها توسط روسیه تولید میشود.
یک مکانیسم مشابه، در جهت عدم استفاده ایران از سوخت هستهای برای تولید سلاح، پیشاپیش در راکتور اولیه بوشهر وجود دارد.
روساتم در بیانیهای در وب سایت خود گفته است، روسیه و ایران قصد دارند در مورد مسئله مصلحت و امکانپذیری “ساخت اجزای میلههای سوخت در ایران” مذاکره کنند.
نیویورک تایمز جزئیات بیشتری ارائه داده و به نقل از این شرکت گفته است که میلههای با روکش زیرکونیوم میتواند در ایران تولید شود اما اورانیوم باید از روسیه بیاید.
برخی از منتقدان برنامه هستهای ایران، علیه انتقال هرگونه فناوری هستهای به این کشور سخن گفتهاند و بیم آن دارند که از آنها برای تولید سلاح هستهای استفاده شوند.
آمریکا و متحدانش ظنین هستند که ایران بصورت پنهانی به دنبال بدست آوردن توانایی برای ساخت سلاح هستهای باشد. ایران چنین ادعاهایی را رد میکند و اصرار دارد که برنامه هستهای این کشور تماما صلحآمیز و هدف از آن تولید برق و ایزوتوپهای پزشکی است.
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e-children-as-population-declines.html?_r=0 12 نوامبر 2014